New orders for US manufactured goods declined about 1.3% in May, a smaller drop than feared, driven mainly by weaker demand for transportation equipment and aircraft as the industrial sector navigates higher costs.
New orders for US manufactured goods fell about 1.3% in May, according to the latest factory orders data, a decline that was smaller than many analysts had feared but that nonetheless pointed to softer underlying demand. The drop was led by a pullback in transportation equipment, particularly volatile aircraft orders, which tend to swing sharply from month to month. Excluding that category, the picture was more stable, suggesting the broader manufacturing base is holding up rather than deteriorating rapidly. The report adds to a run of mixed signals on the US economy, arriving alongside a weaker-than-expected June employment report that showed hiring cooling. Manufacturers have been contending with elevated input costs, the effects of tariffs on some imported components, and uncertainty tied to geopolitics and energy prices. Economists watch factory orders as a gauge of business investment intentions and future production, since orders today translate into output and shipments in the months ahead. Taken together with softer jobs data, the figures reinforce expectations that the Federal Reserve has room to be patient on policy.
Key Points
- 1US factory orders fell about 1.3% in May, a smaller decline than expected.
- 2The drop was driven mainly by weaker transportation and aircraft orders.
- 3Excluding transport, the manufacturing picture was more stable.
- 4The data adds to signs of softer demand alongside a weak June jobs report.
Why This Matters
Factory orders signal business investment and future production, so a decline hints at cooler industrial momentum that feeds into growth, jobs and the Federal Reserve's policy outlook.
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