US employers added only 57,000 jobs in June, well below forecasts, while the unemployment rate dipped to 4.2% and prior months were revised down, prompting markets to ease bets on a near-term Federal Reserve rate hike.
The US labor market slowed markedly in June, with nonfarm payrolls rising by just 57,000, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. That was well short of the roughly 115,000 economists had expected and down from a downwardly revised 129,000 in May. Job gains for April and May were cut by a combined 74,000, underscoring a cooling trend. The unemployment rate unexpectedly edged down to 4.2% from 4.3%, but the decline was driven largely by people leaving the workforce: the labor force participation rate fell to 61.5%, its lowest since 2021. Professional and business services led hiring with 36,000 jobs, followed by social assistance and health care, while leisure and hospitality shed 61,000 amid weaker seasonal hiring. Average hourly earnings rose 0.3% on the month and 3.5% over the year. Markets reacted quickly, with stock futures rising, Treasury yields falling and traders trimming expectations for a Fed rate increase as soon as September. Fed officials next meet at the end of July.
Key Points
- 1US nonfarm payrolls rose just 57,000 in June, below the roughly 115,000 expected.
- 2April and May job gains were revised down by a combined 74,000.
- 3Unemployment dipped to 4.2% as labor force participation fell to 61.5%.
- 4Markets eased expectations for a near-term Federal Reserve rate hike.
Why This Matters
A cooling jobs market shapes the Federal Reserve's rate decisions, which flow through to mortgage, loan and savings rates, and signals how resilient the broader US economy remains.
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