The US economy added only about 57,000 jobs in June, roughly half of what economists expected, with earlier months revised lower, signalling a cooling labour market that could let the Federal Reserve stay patient.
The US labour market softened notably in June, with employers adding just 57,000 jobs, about half the roughly 113,000 that economists had forecast, according to the closely watched monthly employment report released a day early ahead of the Independence Day holiday. Job gains for April and May were revised down by a combined 74,000, reinforcing the picture of decelerating hiring. The unemployment rate ticked down to 4.2%, but that decline was driven mainly by a large drop in the labour force rather than stronger hiring, pushing the participation rate lower. Analysts said the softer data give the Federal Reserve room to take a patient approach to its next move rather than rushing to raise rates, particularly as falling energy prices ease some inflationary pressure. The report landed as new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh, speaking at a central banking forum in Europe, said the inflation outlook had improved while declining to commit to a specific policy path. Markets responded by lifting expectations for a rate cut later in the year.
Key Points
- 1US payrolls rose just 57,000 in June, about half the roughly 113,000 expected.
- 2April and May job gains were revised down by a combined 74,000.
- 3The unemployment rate fell to 4.2%, but mainly due to a shrinking labour force.
- 4Softer data give the Fed room to be patient on interest rates.
Why This Matters
The jobs report shapes expectations for interest rates that affect mortgages, loans and savings, and a cooling labour market strengthens the case for the Federal Reserve to consider cutting rates rather than hiking.
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