US consumer prices fell 0.4% in June, the largest monthly drop since April 2020, pulling annual inflation down to 3.5% from 4.2% as energy costs eased following a ceasefire in the Middle East.
US inflation cooled more than expected in June, offering temporary relief after a springtime surge tied to the conflict in the Middle East. The consumer price index fell 0.4% on a seasonally adjusted basis for the month, its steepest one-month decline since April 2020, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. That pulled the annual inflation rate down to 3.5% from 4.2% in May, the first slowdown in five months and below the 3.8% economists had expected. The drop was driven largely by a retreat in energy and gasoline prices after a ceasefire eased pressure on oil supplies. Core inflation, which strips out food and energy and is closely watched by the Federal Reserve, was flat on the month, leaving the annual rate at 2.6%, also softer than forecast. Services prices, a key gauge of underlying pressure, moderated notably. The report cooled expectations of a near-term Fed rate increase, with traders trimming the odds of a September hike, though some officials continue to warn that price risks remain elevated if energy costs rebound.
Key Points
- 1US CPI fell 0.4% in June, the largest monthly drop since April 2020.
- 2Annual inflation eased to 3.5% from 4.2%, below the 3.8% forecast.
- 3Core inflation was flat on the month, with the annual rate at 2.6%.
- 4Cooling prices trimmed market expectations of a near-term Fed rate hike.
Why This Matters
Inflation shapes the Federal Reserve's interest-rate path, which flows through to mortgage, credit-card and loan costs, so a sharp cooldown eases pressure on both borrowers and policymakers, at least for now.
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