France's finance minister has warned the country may miss its 5% deficit target this year after cutting the growth forecast to 0.7%, with an additional 3 billion euros of spending cuts announced to limit the shortfall.
France is at risk of failing to meet its deficit-reduction target for 2026 as the economic outlook weakens, Finance Minister Roland Lescure told lawmakers in a mid-year update on public finances. The government cut its growth forecast to 0.7% from 0.9%, citing a weak start to the year and the impact of the conflict in Iran. Slower growth is depressing tax revenue while the government has had to provide targeted support to sectors hit by higher energy costs. Lescure acknowledged that the target of a public deficit at 5% of gross domestic product is now difficult to achieve, saying the government would try to get as close as possible. Budget Minister David Amiel said an additional 3 billion euros of spending cuts or freezes would be needed to offset unplanned expenditure, on top of 6 billion euros in earlier emergency measures, while the finance ministry identified a potential 2 billion euro overshoot from local government spending. The strain complicates preparation of the 2027 budget, due in September, amid concern that France's 3.5 trillion euro debt burden could keep rising ahead of the presidential election. A separate report commissioned by Lescure projected the deficit could widen toward 7% of GDP by 2030 without corrective action, with public debt climbing above 130% of GDP.
Key Points
- 1France cut its 2026 growth forecast to 0.7% from 0.9%, putting the 5% deficit target at risk.
- 2An additional 3 billion euros of spending cuts or freezes was announced.
- 3The finance ministry flagged a potential 2 billion euro overshoot from local government spending.
- 4A commissioned report projected the deficit could approach 7% of GDP by 2030 without corrective action.
Why This Matters
France's fiscal path affects eurozone borrowing costs and its sovereign credit rating, with implications for French savers, bondholders and the political stability of the bloc's second-largest economy.
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